The Path of Thorns

The Oregonian has the first glimpse of what the future might look like for active and inactive Tier 1 members. As reported here on multiple occasions spanning back to early 2004, the OIC has been pressing for a reduction in the "assumed interest rate" from 8% to something significantly less. The employers have squashed any discussion in the past, but now that the issue has become public again (recall Ballot Measure 8 in 1994), it is more likely that the discussion will carry some weight. Read the Oregonian's report here. It paints a sorry picture and begins the first salvo in the path of thorns. I hope I'm wrong, but methinks this will gain more traction as time goes on.

Party At The End Of The World

Time to find out what the end of the world might look like. In case you missed the notice yesterday (buried in the bottom of a lengthy post), I have released OSX and Windows versions of my Strunk Eugene calculator. It has been tested extensively by people who have independently validated the results. I'm confident that I've captured PERS' methodology correctly (at least as it has been publicly explained) and the results should give you a picture of what your situation could look like next July 1. In later versions I am going to try to give the user the choice of implementation date, although there will be constraints as I cannot forecast COLAs out too far. You can download the program by clicking on the link to the left of the blog screen, below the "About Me" section. PLEASE, PLEASE, PLEASE (did I say it often and loud enough) read the posted "Read Me" before downloading and, especially, before coming to me about problems. Thanks to Martha and Peg for their unflagging help in getting out some gnarly bugs and for data entry, and to Dick for some OS X suggestions and help.